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3944.T$2341.00+0.00%
Fair $2341.00+0.0%

3944.T

Furubayashi Shiko Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersTokyo

$2341.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2341.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-274.3M · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3944.TLocal privado en este navegador · Furubayashi Shiko Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

8.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.3x

↓

ROE

3.2%

↓

Gross Margin

16.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.31

↓
52-Week Range$2341
$2001$2930

TradingView lightweight chart

3944.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,341Periodo +64.9%
Fair value: $2,341

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.6%

FCF CAGR

-17.6%

FCF margin

3.8%

FCF / Net income

2.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.87B · net income $315.4M · FCF $671.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.6%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

2.4%-0.3% pts

Net margin

1.8%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

3.8%-3.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$17.87B$17.87B$18.10B$17.91B$17.06B
Net Income$315.4M$315.4M$248.3M$439.3M$330.7M
EBITDA$1.19B$1.19B$1.10B$1.16B$957.3M
EPS———396.72298.88
Gross Margin16.6%16.6%14.7%16.5%15.7%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%1.0%3.3%2.7%
Net Margin1.8%1.8%1.4%2.5%1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.310.310.390.320.27
Current Ratio1.111.11———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$671.2M$671.2M$-766.9M$-274.3M$1.20B
Returns
ROE3.2%3.2%2.6%5.1%4.2%
Valuation
P/E8.228.22—5.946.16
EV/EBITDA3.323.323.293.002.70
P/B0.260.260.220.300.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.3%-1.3%1.1%5.0%—
EPS Growth———32.7%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +18.0%

Total return

+18.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

+15.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+15.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.