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3947.T$1988.00-2.74%
Fair $1988.00+0.0%

3947.T

Dynapac Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersTokyo

$1988.00

-56.00 (-2.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1988.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.4B · quality 52.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3947.TLocal privado en este navegador · Dynapac Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$19.4B

P/E

6.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.8x

↓

ROE

6.8%

↑

Gross Margin

20.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.15

↓
52-Week Range$1988
$1912$2774

TradingView lightweight chart

3947.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,988Periodo -15.4%
Fair value: $1,988

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.7%

FCF CAGR

+40.6%

FCF margin

4.7%

FCF / Net income

1.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $67.08B · net income $3.18B · FCF $3.17B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.4%+3.3% pts

Operating margin

4.3%+1.9% pts

Net margin

4.7%+1.9% pts

FCF margin

4.7%+2.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$67.08B$67.08B$62.53B$58.03B$56.79B
Net Income$3.18B$3.18B$2.98B$1.61B$1.61B
EBITDA$7.67B$7.67B$6.84B$4.34B$3.49B
EPS——299.51161.54162.25
Gross Margin20.4%20.4%18.9%18.2%17.1%
Operating Margin4.3%4.3%2.7%3.3%2.4%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%4.8%2.8%2.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.150.150.080.030.04
Current Ratio1.001.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.17B$3.17B$-1.10B$2.44B$1.14B
Returns
ROE6.8%6.8%6.5%3.8%4.0%
Valuation
P/E6.216.216.039.297.65
EV/EBITDA2.812.812.582.322.67
P/B0.410.410.390.350.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.3%7.3%7.8%2.2%—
EPS Growth——85.4%-0.4%—
Dividend Yield3.9%3.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.4%

Total return

+6.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

299.51 → n/d

Residual

+2.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.