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3981.T$1223.00+0.33%
Fair $1223.00+0.0%

3981.T

Beaglee Inc.

Communication Services / Internet Content & InformationTokyo

$1223.00

+4.00 (+0.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1223.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.7B · quality 79.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 80/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 3981.TLocal privado en este navegador · Beaglee Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.8B

P/E

10.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.3x

↓

ROE

8.5%

↑

Gross Margin

34.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.47

↑
52-Week Range$1223
$1201$1370

TradingView lightweight chart

3981.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,223Periodo -41.8%
Fair value: $1,223

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.7%

FCF CAGR

-16.0%

FCF margin

7.6%

FCF / Net income

1.85x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $16.72B · net income $683.7M · FCF $1.27B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.1%-1.3% pts

Operating margin

8.2%-1.2% pts

Net margin

4.1%+0.5% pts

FCF margin

7.6%-3.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$16.72B$16.72B$18.45B$19.08B$18.71B
Net Income$683.7M$683.7M$1.30B$689.2M$664.5M
EBITDA$2.29B$2.29B$2.76B$2.51B$2.64B
EPS122.08122.08219.21114.11110.31
Gross Margin34.1%34.1%34.4%34.3%35.4%
Operating Margin8.2%8.2%9.7%7.8%9.4%
Net Margin4.1%4.1%7.1%3.6%3.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.470.470.640.841.08
Current Ratio1.101.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.27B$1.27B$2.16B$1.69B$2.13B
Returns
ROE8.5%8.5%17.4%9.9%10.5%
Valuation
P/E10.0210.027.6210.5410.31
EV/EBITDA2.332.333.483.303.59
P/B0.850.851.331.041.08
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.4%-9.4%-3.3%2.0%—
EPS Growth-44.3%-44.3%92.1%3.4%—
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$108.52

Spread vs growth

-40.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$131.31

Spread vs growth

-45.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$211.48

Spread vs growth

-50.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.2%

Total return

-3.2%

Start / end P/E

6.0x → 10.0x

EPS bridge

219.21 → 122.08

Residual

-29.8%

EPS growth-44.3%
Multiple rerating+67.3%
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-29.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.