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3986.T$560.00+3.13%
Fair $560.00+0.0%

3986.T

bBreak Systems Company, Limited

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$560.00

+17.00 (+3.13%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $560.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $176.7M · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 86/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3986.TLocal privado en este navegador · bBreak Systems Company, Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

28.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.1x

↓

ROE

8.3%

↑

Gross Margin

47.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$560
$425$583

TradingView lightweight chart

3986.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $560.00Periodo -79.5%
Fair value: $560.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

+16.2%

FCF margin

12.7%

FCF / Net income

1.30x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.39B · net income $136.4M · FCF $176.7M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

47.4%+1.7% pts

Operating margin

10.9%+0.6% pts

Net margin

9.8%+2.0% pts

FCF margin

12.7%+3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.39B$1.39B$1.38B$1.26B$1.17B
Net Income$136.4M$136.4M$136.2M$116.8M$91.5M
EBITDA$156.2M$156.2M$176.4M$154.9M$122.5M
EPS29.8929.8929.6725.32—
Gross Margin47.4%47.4%46.2%46.5%45.7%
Operating Margin10.9%10.9%12.8%12.2%10.3%
Net Margin9.8%9.8%9.9%9.2%7.8%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio5.305.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$176.7M$176.7M$160.0M$195.0M$112.8M
Returns
ROE8.3%8.3%8.9%8.1%6.9%
Valuation
P/E28.4828.4816.8416.62—
EV/EBITDA4.104.103.181.84—
P/B1.551.551.501.35—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.9%0.9%9.2%8.3%—
EPS Growth0.7%0.7%17.2%——
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

18.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$49.69

Spread vs growth

-17.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

15.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$60.13

Spread vs growth

-14.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$96.83

Spread vs growth

-11.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +18.9%

Total return

+18.9%

Start / end P/E

16.1x → 18.7x

EPS bridge

29.67 → 29.89

Residual

+0.1%

EPS growth+0.7%
Multiple rerating+16.2%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.