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v0.1
3992.T$409.00+0.00%
Fair $409.00+0.0%

3992.T

Needs Well Inc.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$409.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $409.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $754.3M · quality 75.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 72/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3992.TLocal privado en este navegador · Needs Well Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15.5B

P/E

19.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.8x

↓

ROE

18.6%

↑

Gross Margin

22.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$409
$410$625

TradingView lightweight chart

3992.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $410.00Periodo +84.8%
Fair value: $409.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.2%

FCF CAGR

+23.4%

FCF margin

7.5%

FCF / Net income

0.85x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.03B · net income $887.1M · FCF $754.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.7%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

11.5%+1.3% pts

Net margin

8.8%+1.4% pts

FCF margin

7.5%+1.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$10.03B$10.03B$9.55B$8.76B$6.73B
Net Income$887.1M$887.1M$810.0M$837.3M$499.2M
EBITDA$1.46B$1.46B$1.35B$1.28B$730.8M
EPS23.4223.4221.1521.3112.46
Gross Margin22.7%22.7%22.7%23.8%23.2%
Operating Margin11.5%11.5%12.4%12.6%10.3%
Net Margin8.8%8.8%8.5%9.6%7.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.02—
Current Ratio3.243.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$754.3M$754.3M$401.9M$946.6M$401.2M
Returns
ROE18.6%18.6%19.2%22.6%14.0%
Valuation
P/E19.2919.2914.2815.1112.55
EV/EBITDA8.778.777.077.975.00
P/B3.253.252.743.411.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.1%5.1%9.0%30.2%—
EPS Growth10.7%10.7%-0.8%71.1%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

15.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$36.29

Spread vs growth

-5.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$43.91

Spread vs growth

-2.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$70.72

Spread vs growth

-1.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -14.7%

Total return

-14.7%

Start / end P/E

23.5x → 17.5x

EPS bridge

21.15 → 23.42

Residual

-2.8%

EPS growth+10.7%
Multiple rerating-25.7%
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.