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3993.T$3210.00-6.59%
Fair $3210.00+0.0%

3993.T

PKSHA Technology Inc.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$3210.00

-208.00 (-6.59%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3210.00Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.4B · quality 80.3/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 87/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3993.TLocal privado en este navegador · PKSHA Technology Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$99.6B

P/E

40.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.4x

↓

ROE

7.8%

↑

Gross Margin

49.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.32

↑
52-Week Range$3210
$2546$4515

TradingView lightweight chart

3993.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,947Periodo +0.9%
Fair value: $3,210

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+23.7%

FCF CAGR

+26.6%

FCF margin

19.5%

FCF / Net income

1.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $21.77B · net income $2.68B · FCF $4.25B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

49.8%-0.0% pts

Operating margin

24.3%+10.7% pts

Net margin

12.3%+5.1% pts

FCF margin

19.5%+1.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$21.77B$21.77B$16.89B$13.91B$11.51B
Net Income$2.68B$2.68B$2.08B$4.7M$836.6M
EBITDA$7.34B$7.34B$5.08B$2.39B$3.03B
EPS86.4486.4467.600.1526.57
Gross Margin49.8%49.8%50.5%44.5%49.8%
Operating Margin24.3%24.3%19.0%5.5%13.6%
Net Margin12.3%12.3%12.3%0.0%7.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.150.130.17
Current Ratio2.372.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.25B$4.25B$2.19B$2.38B$2.09B
Returns
ROE7.8%7.8%6.5%0.0%2.9%
Valuation
P/E40.8040.8049.7816953.3370.34
EV/EBITDA12.4112.4118.4928.3516.89
P/B2.892.893.242.692.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth28.9%28.9%21.5%20.8%—
EPS Growth27.9%27.9%44966.7%-99.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

48.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$284.83

Spread vs growth

-20.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$344.65

Spread vs growth

-4.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$555.06

Spread vs growth

7.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.2%

Total return

+0.2%

Start / end P/E

43.5x → 34.1x

EPS bridge

67.60 → 86.44

Residual

-6.0%

EPS growth+27.9%
Multiple rerating-21.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.