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3996.T$185.00-2.63%
Fair $185.00+0.0%

3996.T

Signpost Corporation

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$185.00

-5.00 (-2.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $185.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $112.2M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3996.TLocal privado en este navegador · Signpost Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.4B

P/E

31.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.7x

↓

ROE

4.1%

↓

Gross Margin

32.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.26

↑
52-Week Range$185
$185$408

TradingView lightweight chart

3996.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $185.00Periodo -91.8%
Fair value: $185.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.6%

FCF / Net income

1.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.14B · net income $76.2M · FCF $112.2M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

32.1%+4.9% pts

Operating margin

3.1%+7.4% pts

Net margin

2.4%+7.6% pts

FCF margin

3.6%+10.8% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$3.14B$3.14B$3.02B$2.93B$2.57B
Net Income$76.2M$76.2M$257.2M$128.8M$-132.6M
EBITDA$98.8M$98.8M$199.3M$77.4M$-125.2M
EPS———10.05-10.38
Gross Margin32.1%32.1%30.9%27.4%27.2%
Operating Margin3.1%3.1%6.6%3.5%-4.3%
Net Margin2.4%2.4%8.5%4.4%-5.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.260.260.280.310.31
Current Ratio3.613.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$112.2M$112.2M$312.3M$35.6M$-185.0M
Returns
ROE4.1%4.1%14.3%8.3%-9.4%
Valuation
P/E31.0931.09—62.69—
EV/EBITDA10.6510.6519.4992.63—
P/B1.261.262.825.224.92
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.8%3.8%3.2%13.8%—
EPS Growth———196.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -46.1%

Total return

-46.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

-46.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-46.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.