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3997.T$379.00+2.71%
Fair $379.00+0.0%

3997.T

TRADE WORKS Co., Ltd

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$379.00

+10.00 (+2.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $379.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-173.5M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3997.TLocal privado en este navegador · TRADE WORKS Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15.5B

P/E

256.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

39.6x

↑

ROE

3.2%

↓

Gross Margin

24.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.61

↑
52-Week Range$379
$115$650

TradingView lightweight chart

3997.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $379.00Periodo -48.3%
Fair value: $379.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.4%

FCF / Net income

-3.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.05B · net income $56.9M · FCF $-173.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.7%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

5.1%-4.6% pts

Net margin

1.1%-5.0% pts

FCF margin

-3.4%-15.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.05B$5.05B$4.59B$3.75B$3.27B
Net Income$56.9M$56.9M$-151.7M$-53.3M$200.3M
EBITDA$376.1M$376.1M$83.8M$83.4M$415.5M
EPS——-4.50-1.625.88
Gross Margin24.7%24.7%17.1%20.1%25.4%
Operating Margin5.1%5.1%-1.2%0.8%9.7%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%-3.3%-1.4%6.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.610.610.660.420.01
Current Ratio2.962.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-173.5M$-173.5M$-136.2M$-217.7M$390.0M
Returns
ROE3.2%3.2%-11.9%-3.8%13.7%
Valuation
P/E256.08256.08——18.36
EV/EBITDA39.6239.626.0336.777.22
P/B8.298.290.362.242.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.0%10.0%22.3%14.8%—
EPS Growth——-177.6%-127.6%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +207.2%

Total return

+207.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-4.50 → n/d

Residual

+206.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+206.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.