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3999.HK$0.56+1.82%
Fair $0.56+0.0%

3999.HK

DaChan Food (Asia) Limited

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsHKSE

$0.56

+0.01 (+1.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.56Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-63.0M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -0.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3999.HKLocal privado en este navegador · DaChan Food (Asia) Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$569M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

1.9x

↓

ROE

-0.1%

↓

Gross Margin

11.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

3999.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.560Periodo -80.9%
Fair value: $0.560

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.2%

FCF / Net income

-123.50x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.00B · net income $-1.6M · FCF $192.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.9%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

1.2%-1.0% pts

Net margin

-0.0%-1.5% pts

FCF margin

3.2%+3.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.00B$6.00B$5.83B$6.42B$6.20B
Net Income$-1.6M$-1.6M$58.8M$47.0M$91.9M
EBITDA$267.8M$267.8M$301.5M$242.2M$295.7M
EPS-0.00-0.000.060.050.09
Gross Margin11.9%11.9%12.6%10.3%11.0%
Operating Margin1.2%1.2%1.8%1.3%2.2%
Net Margin-0.0%-0.0%1.0%0.7%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.280.270.20
Current Ratio1.431.43———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$192.4M$192.4M$-63.0M$-139.0M$-34.0M
Returns
ROE-0.1%-0.1%2.7%2.2%4.4%
Valuation
P/E——11.0314.356.08
EV/EBITDA1.891.892.582.911.47
P/B0.260.260.300.320.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.9%2.9%-9.1%3.6%—
EPS Growth-103.4%-103.4%26.1%-49.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.5%

Total return

-12.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.06 → -0.00

Residual

-12.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.