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v0.1
4006.SR$13.13-0.76%
Fair $13.13+0.0%

4006.SR

Saudi Marketing Company

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresSaudi

$13.13

-0.10 (-0.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.13Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $35.4M · quality 49.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 55/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4006.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Saudi Marketing Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$591M

P/E

23.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.5x

↓

ROE

3.5%

↓

Gross Margin

33.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.93

↑
52-Week Range$13
$12$19

TradingView lightweight chart

4006.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.13Periodo -79.8%
Fair value: $13.13

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.3%

FCF CAGR

-29.5%

FCF margin

2.0%

FCF / Net income

1.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.78B · net income $24.7M · FCF $35.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.7%+5.0% pts

Operating margin

7.1%+2.8% pts

Net margin

1.4%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

2.0%-3.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.78B$1.78B$1.84B$1.81B$1.80B
Net Income$24.7M$24.7M$25.4M$21.8M$22.8M
EBITDA$258.9M$258.9M$262.9M$228.8M$207.9M
EPS——0.570.480.51
Gross Margin33.7%33.7%31.8%30.2%28.7%
Operating Margin7.1%7.1%6.1%4.8%4.3%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%1.4%1.2%1.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.931.931.881.851.80
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$35.4M$35.4M$10.6M$37.6M$101.1M
Returns
ROE3.5%3.5%3.7%3.3%3.5%
Valuation
P/E23.4523.4540.7048.7137.73
EV/EBITDA7.537.538.799.869.70
P/B0.830.831.521.591.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.0%-3.0%1.2%0.8%—
EPS Growth——18.7%-5.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.0%

Total return

-29.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.57 → n/d

Residual

-29.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-29.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.