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v0.1
4009.SR$32.98+1.41%
Fair $32.98+0.0%

4009.SR

Middle East Healthcare Company

Healthcare / Medical Care FacilitiesSaudi

$32.98

+0.46 (+1.41%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $32.98Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-41.3M · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4009.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Middle East Healthcare Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

8.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.3x

↓

ROE

17.3%

↑

Gross Margin

38.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.52

↑
52-Week Range$33
$29$61

TradingView lightweight chart

4009.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $32.98Periodo -53.1%
Fair value: $32.98

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.9%

FCF / Net income

1.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.88B · net income $282.0M · FCF $286.7M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

38.6%+6.2% pts

Operating margin

15.5%+12.1% pts

Net margin

9.8%+8.9% pts

FCF margin

9.9%+28.1% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$2.88B$2.88B$2.65B$2.15B$1.87B
Net Income$282.0M$282.0M$17.0M$75.2M$17.2M
EBITDA$747.5M$747.5M$533.9M$296.2M$202.2M
EPS3.063.060.190.820.19
Gross Margin38.6%38.6%38.2%31.6%32.5%
Operating Margin15.5%15.5%12.5%6.7%3.3%
Net Margin9.8%9.8%0.6%3.5%0.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.521.521.881.691.56
Current Ratio1.481.48———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$286.7M$286.7M$-41.3M$-173.5M$-340.9M
Returns
ROE17.3%17.3%1.3%5.7%1.4%
Valuation
P/E8.088.08471.0532.32173.16
EV/EBITDA7.297.2920.0015.7524.57
P/B1.871.876.241.842.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.7%8.7%23.3%14.9%—
EPS Growth1510.5%1510.5%-76.8%331.6%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.93

Spread vs growth

1512.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.54

Spread vs growth

1507.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$5.70

Spread vs growth

1504.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -42.3%

Total return

-42.3%

Start / end P/E

308.9x → 10.8x

EPS bridge

0.19 → 3.06

Residual

-1457.8%

EPS growth+1510.5%
Multiple rerating-96.5%
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1457.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.