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4012.SR$3.72+0.54%
Fair $3.72+0.0%

4012.SR

Thob Al Aseel Company

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel ManufacturingSaudi

$3.72

+0.02 (+0.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.72Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $136.8M · quality 75.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 73/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 4012.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Thob Al Aseel Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

14.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.9x

↓

ROE

16.4%

↑

Gross Margin

42.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$4
$3$4

TradingView lightweight chart

4012.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.720Periodo -2.4%
Fair value: $3.720

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.3%

FCF CAGR

+66.9%

FCF margin

38.4%

FCF / Net income

2.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $528.2M · net income $100.1M · FCF $202.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

42.8%+1.1% pts

Operating margin

20.2%-4.2% pts

Net margin

19.0%+8.5% pts

FCF margin

38.4%+29.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$528.2M$528.2M$522.5M$532.2M$508.8M
Net Income$100.1M$100.1M$83.9M$76.9M$53.4M
EBITDA$139.1M$139.1M$121.1M$112.4M$90.3M
EPS——0.210.190.13
Gross Margin42.8%42.8%41.1%40.7%41.7%
Operating Margin20.2%20.2%21.8%23.4%24.4%
Net Margin19.0%19.0%16.1%14.5%10.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.050.040.04
Current Ratio6.046.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$202.9M$202.9M$136.8M$115.1M$43.6M
Returns
ROE16.4%16.4%14.1%13.2%9.3%
Valuation
P/E14.3114.3120.2924.7429.23
EV/EBITDA8.908.9012.7615.7816.06
P/B2.442.442.873.222.65
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.1%1.1%-1.8%4.6%—
EPS Growth——10.5%46.2%—
Dividend Yield5.4%5.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.3%

Total return

-1.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.21 → n/d

Residual

-6.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.