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4014.T$414.00-0.96%
Fair $414.00+0.0%

4014.T

Karadanote, Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$414.00

-4.00 (-0.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $414.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-258.2M · quality 43.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4014.TLocal privado en este navegador · Karadanote, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.8B

P/E

31.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.6x

↑

ROE

32.6%

↑

Gross Margin

67.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.85

↑
52-Week Range$414
$385$640

TradingView lightweight chart

4014.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $414.00Periodo -73.9%
Fair value: $414.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+29.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.19B · net income $114.9M · FCF $-110.4M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

67.6%-8.3% pts

Operating margin

4.6%-17.7% pts

Net margin

5.2%-8.6% pts

FCF margin

-5.0%-21.4% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$2.19B$2.19B$2.06B$1.31B$1.00B
Net Income$114.9M$114.9M$-372.5M$-271.7M$139.1M
EBITDA$102.1M$102.1M$-370.8M$-257.8M$213.8M
EPS18.3118.31-59.86-43.57—
Gross Margin67.6%67.6%73.7%70.2%75.9%
Operating Margin4.6%4.6%-11.6%-15.7%22.3%
Net Margin5.2%5.2%-18.1%-20.8%13.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.850.851.810.80—
Current Ratio4.044.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-110.4M$-110.4M$-258.2M$-349.1M$163.8M
Returns
ROE32.6%32.6%-168.1%-43.2%14.4%
Valuation
P/E31.4431.44———
EV/EBITDA23.6423.64——33.15
P/B7.377.3721.098.848.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.7%6.7%57.4%30.3%—
EPS Growth130.6%130.6%-37.4%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

26.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$36.74

Spread vs growth

104.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$44.45

Spread vs growth

111.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$71.59

Spread vs growth

116.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.1%

Total return

-12.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-59.86 → 18.31

Residual

-12.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.