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4031.SR$32.00-0.50%
Fair $32.00+0.0%

4031.SR

Saudi Ground Services Company

Industrials / Airports & Air ServicesSaudi

$32.00

-0.16 (-0.50%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $32.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $199.4M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4031.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Saudi Ground Services Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.0B

P/E

15.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.7x

↑

ROE

13.0%

↑

Gross Margin

23.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$32
$29$52

TradingView lightweight chart

4031.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $32.00Periodo -32.8%
Fair value: $32.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

11.9%

FCF / Net income

0.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.68B · net income $327.0M · FCF $318.7M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

23.1%+11.0% pts

Operating margin

15.0%+21.3% pts

Net margin

12.2%+28.0% pts

FCF margin

11.9%+17.8% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$2.68B$2.68B$2.46B$1.98B$1.61B
Net Income$327.0M$327.0M$211.5M$-244.5M$-254.4M
EBITDA$571.0M$571.0M$483.1M$134.8M$-18.4M
EPS1.741.741.12-1.30-1.35
Gross Margin23.1%23.1%16.6%8.0%12.1%
Operating Margin15.0%15.0%9.9%-5.1%-6.3%
Net Margin12.2%12.2%8.6%-12.4%-15.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.140.360.57
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$318.7M$318.7M$199.4M$-29.2M$-95.9M
Returns
ROE13.0%13.0%9.1%-11.6%-11.2%
Valuation
P/E15.2415.2434.82——
EV/EBITDA10.6710.6715.7129.94—
P/B2.392.393.141.972.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.1%9.1%24.4%23.0%—
EPS Growth55.4%55.4%186.2%3.7%—
Dividend Yield6.2%6.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.84

Spread vs growth

37.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.44

Spread vs growth

40.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$5.53

Spread vs growth

43.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.9%

Total return

-24.9%

Start / end P/E

41.5x → 18.4x

EPS bridge

1.12 → 1.74

Residual

-30.8%

EPS growth+55.4%
Multiple rerating-55.7%
Dividend+6.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-30.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.