StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
4040.SR$11.65-0.26%
Fair $11.65+0.0%

4040.SR

Saudi Public Transport Company

Industrials / RailroadsSaudi

$11.65

-0.03 (-0.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.65Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-125.7M · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4040.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Saudi Public Transport Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

16.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.9x

↓

ROE

6.0%

↑

Gross Margin

22.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.38

↑
52-Week Range$12
$8$15

TradingView lightweight chart

4040.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.65Periodo +41.2%
Fair value: $11.65

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-17.7%

FCF / Net income

-5.53x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.83B · net income $58.3M · FCF $-322.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.5%+9.1% pts

Operating margin

13.3%+9.5% pts

Net margin

3.2%+10.1% pts

FCF margin

-17.7%-62.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.83B$1.83B$1.46B$1.57B$1.32B
Net Income$58.3M$58.3M$-9.6M$-35.6M$-90.9M
EBITDA$457.4M$457.4M$338.8M$277.0M$154.6M
EPS0.470.47-0.08-0.28-0.73
Gross Margin22.5%22.5%20.8%17.5%13.3%
Operating Margin13.3%13.3%10.0%7.1%3.9%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%-0.7%-2.3%-6.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.381.381.401.461.81
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-322.5M$-322.5M$251.1M$-125.7M$587.5M
Returns
ROE6.0%6.0%-1.0%-3.9%-9.6%
Valuation
P/E16.6416.64———
EV/EBITDA5.925.9210.0112.4717.68
P/B1.491.492.782.692.13
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.1%25.1%-7.0%19.0%—
EPS Growth687.5%687.5%71.4%61.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

30.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.03

Spread vs growth

657.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

21.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.25

Spread vs growth

665.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.01

Spread vs growth

671.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.9%

Total return

-16.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.08 → 0.47

Residual

-16.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-16.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.