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4051.T$5820.00-1.36%
Fair $5820.00+0.0%

4051.T

GMO Financial Gate, Inc.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$5820.00

-80.00 (-1.36%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5820.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $375.7M · quality 44.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4051.TLocal privado en este navegador · GMO Financial Gate, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$48.1B

P/E

29.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.0x

↑

ROE

26.1%

↑

Gross Margin

36.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.32

↑
52-Week Range$5820
$4550$6540

TradingView lightweight chart

4051.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5,820Periodo +109.7%
Fair value: $5,820

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+20.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.1%

FCF / Net income

0.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.93B · net income $1.63B · FCF $375.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.9%+10.0% pts

Operating margin

12.4%+5.2% pts

Net margin

9.1%+4.5% pts

FCF margin

2.1%+9.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$17.93B$17.93B$18.71B$15.91B$10.30B
Net Income$1.63B$1.63B$1.01B$782.3M$472.5M
EBITDA$2.87B$2.87B$2.06B$1.52B$1.11B
EPS197.08197.08118.6093.8456.70
Gross Margin36.9%36.9%32.3%24.5%26.9%
Operating Margin12.4%12.4%8.2%7.1%7.2%
Net Margin9.1%9.1%5.4%4.9%4.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.360.30—
Current Ratio1.651.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$375.7M$375.7M$1.14B$366.1M$-719.2M
Returns
ROE26.1%26.1%18.0%15.8%10.6%
Valuation
P/E29.1829.1858.18100.70119.49
EV/EBITDA15.9915.9926.4050.1348.79
P/B7.707.7010.2015.9512.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.2%-4.2%17.6%54.5%—
EPS Growth66.2%66.2%26.4%65.5%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

37.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$516.43

Spread vs growth

28.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

26.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$624.88

Spread vs growth

40.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1006.37

Spread vs growth

48.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +27.7%

Total return

+27.7%

Start / end P/E

39.1x → 29.5x

EPS bridge

118.60 → 197.08

Residual

-16.2%

EPS growth+66.2%
Multiple rerating-24.4%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-16.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.