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4052.T$255.00-1.16%
Fair $255.00+0.0%

4052.T

Ficha Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$255.00

-3.00 (-1.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $255.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-17.6M · quality 33.3/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -1.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4052.TLocal privado en este navegador · Ficha Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

62.7x

↑

ROE

-1.1%

↓

Gross Margin

66.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$255
$250$453

TradingView lightweight chart

4052.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $255.00Periodo -93.7%
Fair value: $255.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+23.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.7%

FCF / Net income

3.56x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $494.2M · net income $-7.9M · FCF $-28.0M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

66.9%-3.2% pts

Operating margin

-0.7%+24.0% pts

Net margin

-1.6%+22.3% pts

FCF margin

-5.7%-1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$494.2M$494.2M$389.7M$382.7M$260.4M
Net Income$-7.9M$-7.9M$-28.6M$29.0M$-62.1M
EBITDA$14.5M$14.5M$-15.6M$34.4M$-47.9M
EPS-1.35-1.35-5.155.27—
Gross Margin66.9%66.9%72.9%71.3%70.2%
Operating Margin-0.7%-0.7%-5.9%6.7%-24.8%
Net Margin-1.6%-1.6%-7.3%7.6%-23.9%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio22.3622.36———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-28.0M$-28.0M$-17.6M$11.8M$-12.1M
Returns
ROE-1.1%-1.1%-5.2%5.1%-12.3%
Valuation
P/E———123.34—
EV/EBITDA62.7562.75—90.50—
P/B2.042.0414.216.3013.16
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth26.8%26.8%1.8%47.0%—
EPS Growth73.8%73.8%-197.7%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -35.3%

Total return

-35.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-5.15 → -1.35

Residual

-35.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-35.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.