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4054.T$514.00-1.15%
Fair $514.00+0.0%

4054.T

Japan PropTech Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$514.00

-6.00 (-1.15%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $514.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $28.7M · quality 31.0/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4054.TLocal privado en este navegador · Japan PropTech Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.1B

P/E

15.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.5x

↓

ROE

12.4%

↑

Gross Margin

65.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$514
$505$921

TradingView lightweight chart

4054.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $514.00Periodo -55.5%
Fair value: $514.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.2%

FCF CAGR

-25.1%

FCF margin

3.0%

FCF / Net income

0.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.44B · net income $429.0M · FCF $131.0M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

65.5%-6.9% pts

Operating margin

16.0%-6.4% pts

Net margin

9.7%-6.2% pts

FCF margin

3.0%-8.9% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$4.44B$4.44B$3.77B$3.05B$2.62B
Net Income$429.0M$429.0M$185.3M$283.4M$414.9M
EBITDA$1.15B$1.15B$709.5M$589.2M$633.7M
EPS30.1330.1312.8819.59—
Gross Margin65.5%65.5%66.0%74.0%72.4%
Operating Margin16.0%16.0%8.7%16.4%22.4%
Net Margin9.7%9.7%4.9%9.3%15.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.020.080.00
Current Ratio1.081.08———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$131.0M$131.0M$-32.9M$28.7M$311.1M
Returns
ROE12.4%12.4%5.9%9.0%13.9%
Valuation
P/E15.0815.0870.1147.63—
EV/EBITDA5.545.5416.7520.9836.48
P/B2.112.114.164.308.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth17.7%17.7%23.5%16.7%—
EPS Growth133.9%133.9%-34.3%——
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$45.61

Spread vs growth

119.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$55.19

Spread vs growth

121.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$88.88

Spread vs growth

122.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -40.4%

Total return

-40.4%

Start / end P/E

68.9x → 17.1x

EPS bridge

12.88 → 30.13

Residual

-100.8%

EPS growth+133.9%
Multiple rerating-75.3%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-100.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.