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v0.1
4056.T$226.00-3.00%
Fair $226.00+0.0%

4056.T

Neural Group Inc.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$226.00

-7.00 (-3.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $226.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 11/F
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $149.4M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

11/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -6.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4056.TLocal privado en este navegador · Neural Group Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

26.7x

↑

ROE

-6.2%

↓

Gross Margin

65.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.02

↑
52-Week Range$226
$224$917

TradingView lightweight chart

4056.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $226.00Periodo -96.3%
Fair value: $226.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.30B · net income $-116.2M · FCF $149.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.0%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

-0.2%+10.6% pts

Net margin

-3.5%+28.1% pts

FCF margin

4.5%+20.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.30B$3.30B$3.56B$3.18B$2.88B
Net Income$-116.2M$-116.2M$-60.9M$-650.1M$-909.2M
EBITDA$123.4M$123.4M$183.0M$-557.3M$-651.1M
EPS——-3.97-43.65-63.32
Gross Margin65.0%65.0%66.4%64.9%64.3%
Operating Margin-0.2%-0.2%1.0%-20.7%-10.8%
Net Margin-3.5%-3.5%-1.7%-20.5%-31.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.021.023.055.196.60
Current Ratio1.941.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$149.4M$149.4M$189.8M$-455.4M$-455.6M
Returns
ROE-6.2%-6.2%-9.9%-139.3%-210.2%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA26.7026.7071.59——
P/B1.931.9319.3733.7131.64
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.5%-7.5%12.2%10.4%—
EPS Growth——90.9%31.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -67.2%

Total return

-67.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-3.97 → n/d

Residual

-67.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-67.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.