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4058.T$2136.00+2.40%
Fair $2136.00+0.0%

4058.T

Toyokumo, Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$2136.00

+51.00 (+2.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2136.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.3B · quality 69.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 90/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4058.TLocal privado en este navegador · Toyokumo, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$23.2B

P/E

21.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.2x

↓

ROE

26.9%

↑

Gross Margin

95.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$2136
$1616$3795

TradingView lightweight chart

4058.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,174Periodo -55.1%
Fair value: $2,136

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+35.9%

FCF CAGR

+44.0%

FCF margin

39.6%

FCF / Net income

1.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.86B · net income $1.08B · FCF $1.93B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

95.8%-1.1% pts

Operating margin

33.1%+0.1% pts

Net margin

22.3%+0.3% pts

FCF margin

39.6%+6.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.86B$4.86B$3.15B$2.43B$1.94B
Net Income$1.08B$1.08B$841.0M$631.4M$427.0M
EBITDA$1.86B$1.86B$1.18B$891.1M$656.7M
EPS——77.1558.0939.01
Gross Margin95.8%95.8%97.2%97.6%96.9%
Operating Margin33.1%33.1%36.9%35.9%33.0%
Net Margin22.3%22.3%26.7%25.9%22.0%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio2.432.43———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.93B$1.93B$1.27B$768.5M$645.5M
Returns
ROE26.9%26.9%27.6%28.2%26.1%
Valuation
P/E21.5021.5027.9524.9628.48
EV/EBITDA10.2210.2216.3914.3915.02
P/B5.795.797.737.037.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth54.4%54.4%29.2%25.7%—
EPS Growth——32.8%48.9%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.1%

Total return

-13.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

77.15 → n/d

Residual

-14.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-14.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.