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405920.KQ$2115.00+2.17%
Fair $2115.00+0.0%

405920.KQ

NARA CELLAR Co., Ltd.

Unknown / UnknownKOSDAQ

$2115.00

+45.00 (+2.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2115.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-388.4M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 405920.KQLocal privado en este navegador · NARA CELLAR Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$26.3B

P/E

302.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.6x

↑

ROE

0.1%

↓

Gross Margin

44.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.56

↑
52-Week Range$2115
$2020$3460

TradingView lightweight chart

405920.KQ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,115Periodo -75.2%
Fair value: $2,115

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.4%

FCF / Net income

32.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $82.11B · net income $85.0M · FCF $2.78B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.0%-4.7% pts

Operating margin

1.8%-9.4% pts

Net margin

0.1%-8.2% pts

FCF margin

3.4%+9.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$82.11B$82.11B$82.71B$85.33B$107.16B
Net Income$85.0M$85.0M$-5.71B$-1.10B$8.94B
EBITDA$5.90B$5.90B$79.2M$4.91B$14.66B
EPS7.007.00-459.00-93.00450.00
Gross Margin44.0%44.0%44.4%44.7%48.7%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%-4.2%0.2%11.2%
Net Margin0.1%0.1%-6.9%-1.3%8.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.560.560.730.610.94
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.78B$2.78B$-388.4M$-15.84B$-6.69B
Returns
ROE0.1%0.1%-9.0%-1.6%18.2%
Valuation
P/E302.14302.14———
EV/EBITDA9.629.621007.1222.44—
P/B0.400.400.611.07—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.7%-0.7%-3.1%-20.4%—
EPS Growth101.5%101.5%-393.5%-120.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

199.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$187.67

Spread vs growth

-97.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

100.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$227.08

Spread vs growth

1.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

48.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$365.72

Spread vs growth

53.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -14.0%

Total return

-14.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-459.00 → 7.00

Residual

-14.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-14.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.