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4073.T$479.00-1.84%
Fair $479.00+0.0%

4073.T

Global Communication Planning Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$479.00

-9.00 (-1.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $479.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 7/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 13%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-390.3M · quality 32.3/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.30, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4073.TLocal privado en este navegador · Global Communication Planning Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

16.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

24.9x

↑

ROE

17.5%

↑

Gross Margin

37.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.30

↑
52-Week Range$479
$471$878

TradingView lightweight chart

4073.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $479.00Periodo -84.3%
Fair value: $479.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.74B · net income $72.6M · FCF $-142.6M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

37.6%-4.5% pts

Operating margin

3.4%-6.2% pts

Net margin

4.2%-1.9% pts

FCF margin

-8.2%-12.1% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.74B$1.74B$1.55B$1.59B$2.08B
Net Income$72.6M$72.6M$-773.8M$-91.7M$126.6M
EBITDA$56.4M$56.4M$-702.0M$-2.6M$257.3M
EPS28.5328.53-310.40-39.18—
Gross Margin37.6%37.6%31.8%39.9%42.1%
Operating Margin3.4%3.4%-17.6%-3.5%9.6%
Net Margin4.2%4.2%-49.9%-5.8%6.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.302.302.480.060.20
Current Ratio1.201.20———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-142.6M$-142.6M$-390.3M$-454.2M$80.9M
Returns
ROE17.5%17.5%-227.4%-8.1%16.2%
Valuation
P/E16.7916.79———
EV/EBITDA24.9224.92———
P/B2.932.934.191.64—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.3%12.3%-2.5%-23.5%—
EPS Growth109.2%109.2%-692.2%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$42.50

Spread vs growth

95.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$51.43

Spread vs growth

96.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$82.83

Spread vs growth

97.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -14.9%

Total return

-14.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-310.40 → 28.53

Residual

-14.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-14.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.