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407A.T$865.00-0.12%
Fair $865.00+0.0%

407A.T

407A.T

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionTokyo

$865.00

-1.00 (-0.12%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $865.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-78.5M · quality 34.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 407A.TLocal privado en este navegador · 407A.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.6B

P/E

8.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.2x

↓

ROE

29.6%

↑

Gross Margin

17.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.12

↑
52-Week Range$865
$843$1400

TradingView lightweight chart

407A.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $865.00Periodo -29.0%
Fair value: $865.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.62B · net income $1.12B · FCF $-1.33B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.8%— pts

Operating margin

9.7%— pts

Net margin

6.3%— pts

FCF margin

-7.5%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$17.62B$17.62B$15.61B$16.13B—
Net Income$1.12B$1.12B$725.9M$986.9M—
EBITDA$1.98B$1.98B$1.47B$1.81B—
EPS112.90112.9073.55105.68—
Gross Margin17.8%17.8%17.2%15.2%—
Operating Margin9.7%9.7%7.4%8.4%—
Net Margin6.3%6.3%4.6%6.1%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.121.120.350.210.20
Current Ratio1.081.08———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.33B$-1.33B$2.02B$-78.5M—
Returns
ROE29.6%29.6%14.8%13.8%—
Valuation
P/E8.608.60———
EV/EBITDA5.225.22———
P/B2.272.27———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.9%12.9%-3.2%——
EPS Growth53.5%53.5%-30.4%——
Dividend Yield6.9%6.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-12.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$76.75

Spread vs growth

65.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$92.87

Spread vs growth

57.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$149.57

Spread vs growth

50.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -22.1%

Total return

-22.1%

Start / end P/E

16.6x → 7.7x

EPS bridge

73.55 → 112.90

Residual

-28.7%

EPS growth+53.5%
Multiple rerating-53.7%
Dividend+6.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.