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4125.T$2508.00-6.24%
Fair $2508.00+0.0%

4125.T

Sanwayuka Industry Corporation

Industrials / Waste ManagementTokyo

$2508.00

-167.00 (-6.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2508.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $668.4M · quality 41.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4125.TLocal privado en este navegador · Sanwayuka Industry Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.8B

P/E

10.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.8x

↓

ROE

4.8%

↓

Gross Margin

28.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.41

↑
52-Week Range$2508
$1373$4050

TradingView lightweight chart

4125.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,508Periodo -46.9%
Fair value: $2,508

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.7%

FCF / Net income

-1.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $16.04B · net income $591.5M · FCF $-759.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.1%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

17.1%-2.3% pts

Net margin

3.7%-4.4% pts

FCF margin

-4.7%-0.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$16.04B$16.04B$15.63B$17.37B$15.54B
Net Income$591.5M$591.5M$1.04B$1.33B$1.26B
EBITDA$2.11B$2.11B$2.58B$2.96B$2.73B
EPS136.98136.98241.30306.87344.63
Gross Margin28.1%28.1%29.6%28.7%29.6%
Operating Margin17.1%17.1%18.7%19.2%19.3%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%6.7%7.6%8.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.410.410.440.580.75
Current Ratio1.401.40———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-759.6M$-759.6M$818.2M$668.4M$-636.9M
Returns
ROE4.8%4.8%8.7%12.0%12.9%
Valuation
P/E10.1110.1110.0610.1211.93
EV/EBITDA6.756.755.085.697.99
P/B0.880.880.871.221.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.6%2.6%-10.0%11.8%—
EPS Growth-43.2%-43.2%-21.4%-11.0%—
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$222.54

Spread vs growth

-60.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$269.28

Spread vs growth

-57.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$433.67

Spread vs growth

-55.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +76.8%

Total return

+76.8%

Start / end P/E

6.0x → 18.3x

EPS bridge

241.30 → 136.98

Residual

-88.4%

EPS growth-43.2%
Multiple rerating+204.5%
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-88.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.