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4154.TWO$12.90-1.53%
Fair $12.90+0.0%

4154.TWO

Raku Co., Ltd

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Non-AlcoholicTaipei Exchange

$12.90

-0.20 (-1.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.90Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-49.3M · quality 52.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -27.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4154.TWOLocal privado en este navegador · Raku Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$495M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-27.2%

↓

Gross Margin

-74.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$13
$9$21

TradingView lightweight chart

4154.TWO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.90Periodo -81.9%
Fair value: $12.90

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-60.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-257.4%

FCF / Net income

1.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $26.8M · net income $-60.6M · FCF $-68.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-74.3%-83.7% pts

Operating margin

-237.6%-229.4% pts

Net margin

-226.3%-218.4% pts

FCF margin

-257.4%-233.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$26.8M$26.8M$41.4M$279.3M$439.6M
Net Income$-60.6M$-60.6M$-124.8M$-108.8M$-34.9M
EBITDA$-46.8M$-46.8M$-101.6M$-70.6M$-1.3M
EPS——-4.75-4.41-1.42
Gross Margin-74.3%-74.3%-118.6%-15.5%9.4%
Operating Margin-237.6%-237.6%-231.6%-37.5%-8.2%
Net Margin-226.3%-226.3%-301.7%-39.0%-7.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.020.030.65
Current Ratio2.522.52———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-68.9M$-68.9M$-49.3M$48.0M$-105.3M
Returns
ROE-27.2%-27.2%-56.4%-51.0%-11.0%
Valuation
P/B2.032.031.722.544.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-35.3%-35.3%-85.2%-36.4%—
EPS Growth——-7.7%-210.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -33.7%

Total return

-33.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-4.75 → n/d

Residual

-33.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-33.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.