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4167.T$283.00-1.05%
Fair $283.00+0.0%

4167.T

Kokopelli Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$283.00

-3.00 (-1.05%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $283.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-20.7M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4167.TLocal privado en este navegador · Kokopelli Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.2B

P/E

17.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.3x

↓

ROE

6.6%

↑

Gross Margin

56.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$283
$266$568

TradingView lightweight chart

4167.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $283.00Periodo -93.4%
Fair value: $283.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.9%

FCF CAGR

-23.9%

FCF margin

5.2%

FCF / Net income

0.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.01B · net income $125.9M · FCF $104.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

56.8%-5.3% pts

Operating margin

9.9%-12.0% pts

Net margin

6.3%-10.9% pts

FCF margin

5.2%-9.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.01B$2.01B$1.82B$1.78B$1.64B
Net Income$125.9M$125.9M$33.4M$21.2M$282.0M
EBITDA$398.3M$398.3M$196.9M$138.8M$417.7M
EPS16.5716.574.262.6735.12
Gross Margin56.8%56.8%54.4%54.4%62.1%
Operating Margin9.9%9.9%1.9%3.6%21.8%
Net Margin6.3%6.3%1.8%1.2%17.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.110.10—
Current Ratio4.864.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$104.2M$104.2M$-20.7M$-148.9M$236.4M
Returns
ROE6.6%6.6%1.9%1.2%15.1%
Valuation
P/E17.0817.0890.38240.8242.71
EV/EBITDA2.342.349.6427.2824.66
P/B1.131.131.712.806.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.2%10.2%2.5%8.1%—
EPS Growth289.0%289.0%59.6%-92.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$25.11

Spread vs growth

274.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$30.38

Spread vs growth

276.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$48.94

Spread vs growth

277.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -44.4%

Total return

-44.4%

Start / end P/E

119.5x → 17.1x

EPS bridge

4.26 → 16.57

Residual

-247.7%

EPS growth+289.0%
Multiple rerating-85.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-247.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.