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4175.T$2230.00-3.90%
Fair $2230.00+0.0%

4175.T

coly Inc.

Communication Services / Electronic Gaming & MultimediaTokyo

$2230.00

-86.00 (-3.90%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2230.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-550.2M · quality 77.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4175.TLocal privado en este navegador · coly Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.3B

P/E

169.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

51.6x

↑

ROE

1.3%

↓

Gross Margin

42.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$2230
$1499$2978

TradingView lightweight chart

4175.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,118Periodo -74.0%
Fair value: $2,230

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.6%

FCF / Net income

-8.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.02B · net income $72.7M · FCF $-602.2M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

42.3%+3.7% pts

Operating margin

-2.1%+1.7% pts

Net margin

1.0%+6.8% pts

FCF margin

-8.6%+4.5% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$7.02B$7.02B$6.50B$5.06B$5.54B
Net Income$72.7M$72.7M$-546.3M$-830.7M$-320.8M
EBITDA$203.8M$203.8M$-522.7M$-811.4M$-276.0M
EPS——-99.27-150.97-58.29
Gross Margin42.3%42.3%36.8%36.3%38.6%
Operating Margin-2.1%-2.1%-7.9%-16.1%-3.7%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%-8.4%-16.4%-5.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.02——
Current Ratio3.113.11———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-602.2M$-602.2M$-459.3M$-550.2M$-725.5M
Returns
ROE1.3%1.3%-10.4%-14.4%-4.9%
Valuation
P/E169.84169.84———
EV/EBITDA51.6451.64———
P/B2.262.261.410.870.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.0%8.0%28.4%-8.5%—
EPS Growth——34.2%-159.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +38.5%

Total return

+38.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-99.27 → n/d

Residual

+38.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+38.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.