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4176.T$251.00+0.40%
Fair $251.00+0.0%

4176.T

coconala Inc.

Communication Services / Internet Content & InformationTokyo

$251.00

+1.00 (+0.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $251.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $238.4M · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4176.TLocal privado en este navegador · coconala Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.6B

P/E

19.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.5x

↑

ROE

12.7%

↑

Gross Margin

65.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$251
$243$559

TradingView lightweight chart

4176.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $251.00Periodo -90.3%
Fair value: $251.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+34.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.5%

FCF / Net income

0.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.41B · net income $306.9M · FCF $238.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.1%+78.5% pts

Operating margin

2.7%+16.2% pts

Net margin

3.3%+16.1% pts

FCF margin

2.5%+14.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.41B$9.41B$6.59B$4.68B$3.84B
Net Income$306.9M$306.9M$243.7M$-75.9M$-494.4M
EBITDA$454.1M$454.1M$266.6M$-122.1M$-508.1M
EPS12.7712.7710.00-3.20-21.28
Gross Margin65.1%65.1%77.3%93.0%-13.4%
Operating Margin2.7%2.7%4.6%-2.7%-13.4%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%3.7%-1.6%-12.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.510.60——
Current Ratio1.561.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$238.4M$238.4M$614.6M$15.7M$-465.8M
Returns
ROE12.7%12.7%10.0%-3.7%-24.7%
Valuation
P/E19.2319.2333.20——
EV/EBITDA9.519.5121.18——
P/B2.502.503.313.376.09
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth42.8%42.8%40.8%21.9%—
EPS Growth27.7%27.7%412.5%85.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

20.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$22.27

Spread vs growth

7.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$26.95

Spread vs growth

11.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$43.40

Spread vs growth

14.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -28.3%

Total return

-28.3%

Start / end P/E

35.0x → 19.7x

EPS bridge

10.00 → 12.77

Residual

-12.1%

EPS growth+27.7%
Multiple rerating-43.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.