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4180.T$933.00-1.79%
Fair $933.00+0.0%

4180.T

Appier Group, Inc.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$933.00

-17.00 (-1.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $933.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.8B · quality 69.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4180.TLocal privado en este navegador · Appier Group, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$95.2B

P/E

38.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.5x

↑

ROE

6.9%

↑

Gross Margin

53.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.30

↑
52-Week Range$933
$660$1745

TradingView lightweight chart

4180.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $933.00Periodo -50.9%
Fair value: $933.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+31.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $43.74B · net income $2.56B · FCF $-1.78B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

53.8%+2.3% pts

Operating margin

6.8%+6.5% pts

Net margin

5.8%+5.7% pts

FCF margin

-4.1%+3.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$43.74B$43.74B$34.06B$26.42B$19.43B
Net Income$2.56B$2.56B$2.93B$1.00B$21.3M
EBITDA$7.01B$7.01B$5.36B$3.38B$1.57B
EPS24.9924.9928.479.750.21
Gross Margin53.8%53.8%52.3%51.9%51.5%
Operating Margin6.8%6.8%5.8%3.0%0.3%
Net Margin5.8%5.8%8.6%3.8%0.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.300.110.120.19
Current Ratio2.262.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.78B$-1.78B$-2.34B$-1.12B$-1.43B
Returns
ROE6.9%6.9%8.5%3.4%0.1%
Valuation
P/E38.0238.0251.28184.416604.76
EV/EBITDA13.5313.5327.6953.8991.51
P/B2.572.574.376.355.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth28.4%28.4%28.9%36.0%—
EPS Growth-12.2%-12.2%192.0%4542.9%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

49.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$82.79

Spread vs growth

-61.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

32.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$100.17

Spread vs growth

-44.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$161.33

Spread vs growth

-32.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -33.6%

Total return

-33.6%

Start / end P/E

49.6x → 37.3x

EPS bridge

28.47 → 24.99

Residual

+3.0%

EPS growth-12.2%
Multiple rerating-24.7%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+3.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.