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v0.1
4191.SR$41.14-1.81%
Fair $41.14+0.0%

4191.SR

Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Company

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailSaudi

$41.14

-0.76 (-1.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $41.14Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $14.8M · quality 63.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 42/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 4191.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$823M

P/E

36.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.1x

↑

ROE

9.2%

↑

Gross Margin

30.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$41
$32$54

TradingView lightweight chart

4191.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $41.14Periodo +71.6%
Fair value: $41.14

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.1%

FCF CAGR

-27.9%

FCF margin

5.6%

FCF / Net income

0.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $264.8M · net income $22.1M · FCF $14.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.0%+7.0% pts

Operating margin

8.7%-0.0% pts

Net margin

8.4%+3.0% pts

FCF margin

5.6%-8.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$264.8M$264.8M$270.5M$314.4M$282.3M
Net Income$22.1M$22.1M$26.9M$16.9M$15.1M
EBITDA$37.7M$37.7M$43.7M$33.0M$30.1M
EPS1.111.111.350.850.76
Gross Margin30.0%30.0%28.2%25.6%23.0%
Operating Margin8.7%8.7%9.9%10.0%8.7%
Net Margin8.4%8.4%10.0%5.4%5.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.160.060.17
Current Ratio1.991.99———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$14.8M$14.8M$-3.1M$62.3M$39.6M
Returns
ROE9.2%9.2%11.3%7.0%6.4%
Valuation
P/E36.4136.4122.0436.4147.50
EV/EBITDA23.1323.1314.4118.5925.05
P/B3.423.422.492.553.04
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.1%-2.1%-14.0%11.4%—
EPS Growth-17.8%-17.8%58.8%11.8%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

48.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.65

Spread vs growth

-66.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.42

Spread vs growth

-49.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.11

Spread vs growth

-38.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.5%

Total return

+14.5%

Start / end P/E

27.2x → 37.1x

EPS bridge

1.35 → 1.11

Residual

-6.5%

EPS growth-17.8%
Multiple rerating+36.3%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.