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v0.1
4192.SR$6.89-0.58%
Fair $6.89+0.0%

4192.SR

Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSaudi

$6.89

-0.04 (-0.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.89Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $70.0M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4192.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.4B

P/E

38.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

18.7x

↑

ROE

11.7%

↑

Gross Margin

23.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.40

↓
52-Week Range$7
$6$7

TradingView lightweight chart

4192.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.890Periodo -23.9%
Fair value: $6.890

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.9%

FCF CAGR

-13.6%

FCF margin

9.2%

FCF / Net income

1.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $758.8M · net income $58.0M · FCF $70.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.5%-4.5% pts

Operating margin

9.8%-5.9% pts

Net margin

7.6%-9.9% pts

FCF margin

9.2%-5.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$758.8M$758.8M$731.6M$719.8M$739.1M
Net Income$58.0M$58.0M$37.5M$98.2M$129.8M
EBITDA$138.2M$138.2M$119.8M$157.6M$179.0M
EPS——0.110.280.37
Gross Margin23.5%23.5%15.4%25.7%27.9%
Operating Margin9.8%9.8%2.4%13.7%15.7%
Net Margin7.6%7.6%5.1%13.6%17.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.400.400.551.130.32
Current Ratio4.394.39———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$70.0M$70.0M$168.9M$-79.3M$108.5M
Returns
ROE11.7%11.7%8.5%24.4%31.6%
Valuation
P/E38.2838.2873.3631.1826.54
EV/EBITDA18.7018.7025.0122.1319.67
P/B4.864.866.437.598.36
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.7%3.7%1.6%-2.6%—
EPS Growth——-60.7%-24.3%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.1%

Total return

-4.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.11 → n/d

Residual

-5.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.