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4197.T$2250.00-2.77%
Fair $2250.00+0.0%

4197.T

Asmarq Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesTokyo

$2250.00

-64.00 (-2.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2250.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $259.0M · quality 68.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4197.TLocal privado en este navegador · Asmarq Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

13.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.4x

↓

ROE

12.6%

↑

Gross Margin

39.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$2250
$2250$2839

TradingView lightweight chart

4197.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,250Periodo +104.5%
Fair value: $2,250

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.3%

FCF CAGR

+5.5%

FCF margin

5.9%

FCF / Net income

1.30x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.42B · net income $199.9M · FCF $259.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.7%+0.3% pts

Operating margin

6.3%-2.0% pts

Net margin

4.5%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

5.9%+0.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.42B$4.42B$4.36B$4.28B$3.89B
Net Income$199.9M$199.9M$256.9M$236.6M$178.9M
EBITDA$349.4M$349.4M$389.4M$365.6M$294.8M
EPS——222.08228.56172.11
Gross Margin39.7%39.7%39.3%37.4%39.4%
Operating Margin6.3%6.3%8.3%7.4%8.3%
Net Margin4.5%4.5%5.9%5.5%4.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity————0.04
Current Ratio2.172.17———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$259.0M$259.0M$315.2M$204.4M$220.8M
Returns
ROE12.6%12.6%17.7%23.1%23.0%
Valuation
P/E13.1213.1211.018.186.39
EV/EBITDA3.413.413.812.841.49
P/B1.631.631.951.891.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.2%1.2%1.9%10.0%—
EPS Growth——-2.8%32.8%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.7%

Total return

-2.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

222.08 → n/d

Residual

-6.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.