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4245.T$649.00-0.92%
Fair $649.00+0.0%

4245.T

Daiki Axis Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Waste ManagementTokyo

$649.00

-6.00 (-0.92%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $649.00Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-22.0M · quality 26.3/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4245.TLocal privado en este navegador · Daiki Axis Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.6B

P/E

18.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.5x

↓

ROE

4.8%

↓

Gross Margin

22.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.83

↑
52-Week Range$649
$649$774

TradingView lightweight chart

4245.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $649.00Periodo +101.2%
Fair value: $649.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $48.32B · net income $461.0M · FCF $-63.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.2%+1.5% pts

Operating margin

2.6%+0.5% pts

Net margin

1.0%-0.5% pts

FCF margin

-0.1%+0.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$48.32B$48.32B$46.82B$42.68B$39.48B
Net Income$461.0M$461.0M$352.0M$205.0M$574.0M
EBITDA$2.45B$2.45B$2.26B$1.75B$1.93B
EPS——26.4815.4343.25
Gross Margin22.2%22.2%21.8%20.8%20.7%
Operating Margin2.6%2.6%2.2%1.5%2.1%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%0.8%0.5%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.831.831.771.691.46
Current Ratio0.920.92———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-63.0M$-63.0M$1.96B$-22.0M$-93.0M
Returns
ROE4.8%4.8%3.7%2.2%6.0%
Valuation
P/E18.6618.6626.2546.7914.98
EV/EBITDA7.487.487.8610.737.88
P/B0.890.890.981.010.90
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.2%3.2%9.7%8.1%—
EPS Growth——71.6%-64.3%—
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.6%

Total return

-1.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

26.48 → n/d

Residual

-5.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.