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4248.T$864.00+0.00%
Fair $864.00+0.0%

4248.T

Takemoto Yohki Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersTokyo

$864.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $864.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $539.1M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4248.TLocal privado en este navegador · Takemoto Yohki Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.4B

P/E

13.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.7x

↓

ROE

6.4%

↑

Gross Margin

30.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$864
$806$905

TradingView lightweight chart

4248.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $863.00Periodo +96.1%
Fair value: $864.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.65x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $14.49B · net income $771.1M · FCF $-498.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.1%+2.5% pts

Operating margin

6.8%+1.2% pts

Net margin

5.3%+2.8% pts

FCF margin

-3.4%-6.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$14.49B$14.49B$15.63B$14.32B$14.89B
Net Income$771.1M$771.1M$639.9M$294.8M$368.9M
EBITDA$2.04B$2.04B$2.01B$1.62B$1.92B
EPS——52.9424.3029.33
Gross Margin30.1%30.1%27.7%26.7%27.6%
Operating Margin6.8%6.8%6.0%3.6%5.6%
Net Margin5.3%5.3%4.1%2.1%2.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.190.260.32
Current Ratio3.093.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-498.4M$-498.4M$1.41B$539.1M$442.3M
Returns
ROE6.4%6.4%5.5%2.7%3.3%
Valuation
P/E13.5713.5715.7531.7724.86
EV/EBITDA3.713.713.144.203.36
P/B0.860.860.860.850.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.3%-7.3%9.1%-3.8%—
EPS Growth——117.9%-17.1%—
Dividend Yield4.4%4.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.8%

Total return

+8.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

52.94 → n/d

Residual

+4.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.