StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
4251.T$1246.00-0.31%
Fair $1246.00+0.0%

4251.T

KEIWA Incorporated

Technology / Electronic ComponentsTokyo

$1246.00

-4.00 (-0.31%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1246.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $553.6M · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4251.TLocal privado en este navegador · KEIWA Incorporated
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$23.0B

P/E

10.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.2x

↓

ROE

9.5%

↑

Gross Margin

42.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$1246
$897$1408

TradingView lightweight chart

4251.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,277Periodo +190.2%
Fair value: $1,246

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.0%

FCF CAGR

-36.7%

FCF margin

2.7%

FCF / Net income

0.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $20.47B · net income $2.27B · FCF $553.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

42.9%-5.4% pts

Operating margin

20.9%-5.5% pts

Net margin

11.1%-12.0% pts

FCF margin

2.7%-7.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$20.47B$20.47B$21.13B$17.57B$21.10B
Net Income$2.27B$2.27B$2.79B$1.98B$4.86B
EBITDA$5.35B$5.35B$5.69B$4.38B$8.26B
EPS122.08122.08144.74102.92252.46
Gross Margin42.9%42.9%46.8%41.2%48.3%
Operating Margin20.9%20.9%22.4%14.0%26.4%
Net Margin11.1%11.1%13.2%11.3%23.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.130.190.25
Current Ratio4.004.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$553.6M$553.6M$3.71B$-520.2M$2.19B
Returns
ROE9.5%9.5%12.2%9.7%25.7%
Valuation
P/E10.2110.216.9312.155.86
EV/EBITDA3.243.242.204.753.25
P/B0.970.970.841.181.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.1%-3.1%20.3%-16.7%—
EPS Growth-15.7%-15.7%40.6%-59.2%—
Dividend Yield3.9%3.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$110.56

Spread vs growth

-12.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$133.78

Spread vs growth

-17.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$215.45

Spread vs growth

-21.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +43.2%

Total return

+43.2%

Start / end P/E

6.3x → 10.5x

EPS bridge

144.74 → 122.08

Residual

-10.2%

EPS growth-15.7%
Multiple rerating+65.1%
Dividend+3.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.