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4260.T$249.00+0.40%
Fair $249.00+0.0%

4260.T

Hybrid Technologies Co., Ltd.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$249.00

+1.00 (+0.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $249.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $274.6M · quality 77.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 79/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4260.TLocal privado en este navegador · Hybrid Technologies Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.8B

P/E

996.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

66.3x

↑

ROE

0.9%

↓

Gross Margin

33.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.56

↑
52-Week Range$249
$246$458

TradingView lightweight chart

4260.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $249.00Periodo -63.9%
Fair value: $249.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

—

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.02B · net income $18.7M · FCF —

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.7%-5.5% pts

Operating margin

1.0%-11.0% pts

Net margin

0.6%-9.7% pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.02B$3.02B$3.14B$2.91B$2.41B
Net Income$18.7M$18.7M$53.0M$160.3M$249.6M
EBITDA$47.2M$47.2M$324.2M$405.3M$451.3M
EPS——4.4613.3622.73
Gross Margin33.7%33.7%31.1%36.0%39.2%
Operating Margin1.0%1.0%3.5%8.8%12.0%
Net Margin0.6%0.6%1.7%5.5%10.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.560.560.500.420.20
Current Ratio1.081.08———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow——$351.5M$197.7M$318.2M
Returns
ROE0.9%0.9%2.3%6.9%11.7%
Valuation
P/E996.00996.00105.8345.9642.19
EV/EBITDA66.2666.2616.6517.3820.27
P/B1.341.342.463.164.95
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.5%-3.5%7.9%20.7%—
EPS Growth——-66.6%-41.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -37.6%

Total return

-37.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

4.46 → n/d

Residual

-37.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-37.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.