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428A.T$1278.00+3.99%
Fair $1278.00+0.0%

428A.T

428A.T

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$1278.00

+49.00 (+3.99%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1278.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 7/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $862.4M · quality 59.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.95, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 428A.TLocal privado en este navegador · 428A.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$16.3B

P/E

35.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.9x

↑

ROE

18.7%

↑

Gross Margin

65.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.95

↑
52-Week Range$1278
$610$1329

TradingView lightweight chart

428A.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,278Periodo +92.8%
Fair value: $1,278

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

7.6%

FCF / Net income

1.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $11.29B · net income $436.7M · FCF $862.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.5%— pts

Operating margin

6.8%— pts

Net margin

3.9%— pts

FCF margin

7.6%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$11.29B$11.29B$10.26B$8.82B—
Net Income$436.7M$436.7M$169.5M$17.4M—
EBITDA$1.72B$1.72B$1.45B$1.35B—
EPS34.2734.2713.301.36—
Gross Margin65.5%65.5%66.7%66.5%—
Operating Margin6.8%6.8%4.3%3.8%—
Net Margin3.9%3.9%1.7%0.2%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.952.953.474.24-27.58
Current Ratio0.560.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$862.4M$862.4M$1.08B$655.9M—
Returns
ROE18.7%18.7%8.9%1.0%—
Valuation
P/E35.0135.01———
EV/EBITDA12.9412.94———
P/B6.976.97———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.1%10.1%16.3%——
EPS Growth157.7%157.7%876.7%——
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

49.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$113.40

Spread vs growth

108.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

32.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$137.22

Spread vs growth

125.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$220.99

Spread vs growth

137.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total +93.6%

Total return

+93.6%

Start / end P/E

49.9x → 37.3x

EPS bridge

13.30 → 34.27

Residual

-39.7%

EPS growth+157.7%
Multiple rerating-25.2%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-39.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.