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4301.T$1811.00-2.00%
Fair $1811.00+0.0%

4301.T

Amuse Inc.

Communication Services / EntertainmentTokyo

$1811.00

-37.00 (-2.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1811.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.1B · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4301.TLocal privado en este navegador · Amuse Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$29.4B

P/E

10.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

0.7x

↓

ROE

4.8%

↑

Gross Margin

13.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1811
$1569$2178

TradingView lightweight chart

4301.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,811Periodo +48.3%
Fair value: $1,811

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+20.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.9%

FCF / Net income

-1.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $68.19B · net income $1.65B · FCF $-1.99B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.7%-7.2% pts

Operating margin

4.1%-3.3% pts

Net margin

2.4%-1.6% pts

FCF margin

-2.9%-4.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$68.19B$68.19B$54.81B$52.50B$38.74B
Net Income$1.65B$1.65B$391.0M$1.69B$1.56B
EBITDA$3.83B$3.83B$1.91B$3.93B$3.25B
EPS99.2799.2723.61100.6189.74
Gross Margin13.7%13.7%13.9%16.7%20.8%
Operating Margin4.1%4.1%2.5%6.0%7.4%
Net Margin2.4%2.4%0.7%3.2%4.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.010.00
Current Ratio2.232.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.99B$-1.99B$-1.12B$8.03B$582.0M
Returns
ROE4.8%4.8%1.2%4.9%4.4%
Valuation
P/E10.9010.9066.1217.4422.06
EV/EBITDA0.670.67-2.21-0.732.21
P/B0.870.870.770.860.98
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth24.4%24.4%4.4%35.5%—
EPS Growth320.5%320.5%-76.5%12.1%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$160.70

Spread vs growth

303.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$194.44

Spread vs growth

306.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$313.15

Spread vs growth

308.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.9%

Total return

+17.9%

Start / end P/E

67.0x → 18.2x

EPS bridge

23.61 → 99.27

Residual

-233.2%

EPS growth+320.5%
Multiple rerating-72.8%
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-233.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.