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4324.KL$1.25-3.10%
Fair $1.25+0.0%

4324.KL

Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad

Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingKuala Lumpur

$1.25

-0.04 (-3.10%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.25Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $35.6M · quality 37.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -22.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4324.KLLocal privado en este navegador · Hengyuan Refining Company Berhad
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$750M

P/E

2.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.6x

↓

ROE

-22.7%

↓

Gross Margin

3.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.11

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

4324.KL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.250Periodo -71.6%
Fair value: $1.250

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-14.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.3%

FCF / Net income

-1.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $13.17B · net income $-260.2M · FCF $297.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

3.1%+2.9% pts

Operating margin

-0.2%+1.6% pts

Net margin

-2.0%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

2.3%+2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$13.17B$13.17B$17.21B$15.40B$21.14B
Net Income$-260.2M$-260.2M$-357.6M$-488.6M$-157.6M
EBITDA$150.4M$150.4M$-64.9M$-242.2M$-225.3M
EPS-0.68-0.68-1.08-1.38-0.45
Gross Margin3.1%3.1%1.1%-0.9%0.2%
Operating Margin-0.2%-0.2%-1.1%-3.9%-1.8%
Net Margin-2.0%-2.0%-2.1%-3.2%-0.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.111.111.251.231.18
Current Ratio0.900.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$297.8M$297.8M$35.6M$-269.7M$-133.8M
Returns
ROE-22.7%-22.7%-31.1%-34.8%-11.5%
Valuation
P/E2.912.91———
EV/EBITDA5.615.61———
P/B0.420.420.640.790.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-23.5%-23.5%11.8%-27.2%—
EPS Growth37.0%37.0%21.9%-207.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.1%

Total return

-25.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.08 → -0.68

Residual

-25.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.