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4390.T$4050.00-0.49%
Fair $4050.00+0.0%

4390.T

IPS, Inc.

Communication Services / Telecom ServicesTokyo

$4050.00

-20.00 (-0.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4050.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.7B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 2/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4390.TLocal privado en este navegador · IPS, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$53.0B

P/E

12.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

11.0x

↑

ROE

16.4%

↑

Gross Margin

54.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.65

↑
52-Week Range$4050
$2201$4300

TradingView lightweight chart

4390.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4,050Periodo +228.7%
Fair value: $4,050

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $15.26B · net income $2.54B · FCF $-1.79B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

54.2%+15.8% pts

Operating margin

28.9%+6.0% pts

Net margin

16.7%-0.9% pts

FCF margin

-11.7%-21.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$15.26B$15.26B$14.12B$12.35B$10.73B
Net Income$2.54B$2.54B$2.83B$2.29B$1.89B
EBITDA$5.44B$5.44B$5.36B$4.04B$3.30B
EPS192.85192.85215.76175.50145.01
Gross Margin54.2%54.2%50.1%47.2%38.4%
Operating Margin28.9%28.9%27.6%26.8%22.9%
Net Margin16.7%16.7%20.1%18.6%17.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.650.650.870.720.41
Current Ratio1.381.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.79B$-1.79B$-5.20B$-2.69B$1.05B
Returns
ROE16.4%16.4%24.5%23.8%25.2%
Valuation
P/E12.8412.8410.9813.4814.76
EV/EBITDA10.9510.956.907.667.63
P/B3.443.442.693.213.72
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.1%8.1%14.3%15.1%—
EPS Growth-10.6%-10.6%22.9%21.0%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

23.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$359.37

Spread vs growth

-33.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$434.84

Spread vs growth

-28.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$700.31

Spread vs growth

-24.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +78.6%

Total return

+78.6%

Start / end P/E

10.6x → 21.0x

EPS bridge

215.76 → 192.85

Residual

-10.5%

EPS growth-10.6%
Multiple rerating+98.7%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.