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4391.T$1120.00+3.61%
Fair $1120.00+0.0%

4391.T

Logizard Co., Ltd.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$1120.00

+39.00 (+3.61%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1120.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $219.7M · quality 61.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4391.TLocal privado en este navegador · Logizard Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.7B

P/E

17.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.9x

↓

ROE

13.0%

↑

Gross Margin

55.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$1120
$1010$1633

TradingView lightweight chart

4391.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,120Periodo -54.3%
Fair value: $1,120

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.1%

FCF CAGR

+8.9%

FCF margin

10.1%

FCF / Net income

0.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.18B · net income $283.2M · FCF $219.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.5%+2.4% pts

Operating margin

18.7%-2.0% pts

Net margin

13.0%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

10.1%+0.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.18B$2.18B$1.98B$1.85B$1.77B
Net Income$283.2M$283.2M$252.5M$184.7M$236.7M
EBITDA$511.7M$511.7M$434.2M$333.2M$439.9M
EPS86.0586.0577.0456.7172.50
Gross Margin55.5%55.5%54.5%51.5%53.1%
Operating Margin18.7%18.7%17.5%14.1%20.7%
Net Margin13.0%13.0%12.8%10.0%13.4%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio6.906.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$219.7M$219.7M$133.2M$250.8M$170.1M
Returns
ROE13.0%13.0%13.1%10.9%15.3%
Valuation
P/E17.3017.3018.1216.5115.46
EV/EBITDA3.873.877.004.795.49
P/B1.691.692.381.802.37
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.1%10.1%6.7%4.6%—
EPS Growth11.7%11.7%35.8%-21.8%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$99.38

Spread vs growth

6.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$120.25

Spread vs growth

4.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$193.67

Spread vs growth

3.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.8%

Total return

-11.8%

Start / end P/E

16.8x → 13.0x

EPS bridge

77.04 → 86.05

Residual

-2.6%

EPS growth+11.7%
Multiple rerating-22.6%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.