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4395.T$860.00-1.16%
Fair $860.00+0.0%

4395.T

Accrete Inc.

Communication Services / Telecom ServicesTokyo

$860.00

-10.00 (-1.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $860.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $153.0M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4395.TLocal privado en este navegador · Accrete Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

18.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.7x

↑

ROE

8.9%

↑

Gross Margin

24.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.41

↑
52-Week Range$860
$809$1665

TradingView lightweight chart

4395.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $849.00Periodo -35.1%
Fair value: $860.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.5%

FCF / Net income

-2.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.79B · net income $307.8M · FCF $-749.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.0%-13.1% pts

Operating margin

6.0%-12.9% pts

Net margin

3.5%-10.3% pts

FCF margin

-8.5%-24.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.79B$8.79B$6.35B$5.43B$6.19B
Net Income$307.8M$307.8M$73.5M$33.4M$851.7M
EBITDA$766.5M$766.5M$29.1M$153.8M$1.35B
EPS45.9145.9112.895.85144.20
Gross Margin24.0%24.0%24.6%29.2%37.1%
Operating Margin6.0%6.0%5.2%5.7%18.9%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%1.2%0.6%13.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.410.410.280.550.81
Current Ratio2.042.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-749.1M$-749.1M$190.1M$153.0M$956.6M
Returns
ROE8.9%8.9%4.1%2.0%51.2%
Valuation
P/E18.7218.7258.11177.4422.36
EV/EBITDA7.677.67113.5932.7013.48
P/B1.671.672.393.5411.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth38.5%38.5%16.8%-12.2%—
EPS Growth256.2%256.2%120.3%-95.9%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

18.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$76.31

Spread vs growth

237.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

15.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$92.34

Spread vs growth

241.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$148.71

Spread vs growth

243.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.3%

Total return

-0.3%

Start / end P/E

66.9x → 18.5x

EPS bridge

12.89 → 45.91

Residual

-185.3%

EPS growth+256.2%
Multiple rerating-72.3%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-185.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.