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4396.T$1101.00+4.46%
Fair $1101.00+0.0%

4396.T

System Support Holdings Inc.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$1101.00

+47.00 (+4.46%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1101.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.3B · quality 78.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 80/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4396.TLocal privado en este navegador · System Support Holdings Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$22.7B

P/E

13.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

24.2%

↑

Gross Margin

27.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.33

↑
52-Week Range$1101
$985$1738

TradingView lightweight chart

4396.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,101Periodo +142.6%
Fair value: $1,101

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.5%

FCF CAGR

+31.4%

FCF margin

7.7%

FCF / Net income

1.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $26.94B · net income $1.46B · FCF $2.07B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.9%+1.1% pts

Operating margin

8.2%+0.8% pts

Net margin

5.4%+0.6% pts

FCF margin

7.7%+2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$26.94B$26.94B$22.03B$19.27B$16.20B
Net Income$1.46B$1.46B$1.22B$1.01B$785.7M
EBITDA$2.54B$2.54B$2.01B$1.66B$1.38B
EPS70.7070.7059.0148.6637.85
Gross Margin27.9%27.9%27.7%27.1%26.8%
Operating Margin8.2%8.2%7.6%7.6%7.4%
Net Margin5.4%5.4%5.6%5.2%4.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.330.330.210.290.35
Current Ratio1.761.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.07B$2.07B$1.32B$901.4M$913.6M
Returns
ROE24.2%24.2%24.2%24.5%23.0%
Valuation
P/E13.6013.6016.7520.9216.54
EV/EBITDA7.437.438.6311.317.95
P/B3.783.784.065.123.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth22.3%22.3%14.3%18.9%—
EPS Growth19.8%19.8%21.3%28.6%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

11.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$97.70

Spread vs growth

8.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$118.21

Spread vs growth

9.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$190.38

Spread vs growth

9.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.1%

Total return

-4.1%

Start / end P/E

20.1x → 15.6x

EPS bridge

59.01 → 70.70

Residual

-4.4%

EPS growth+19.8%
Multiple rerating-22.4%
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.