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4402.TWO$12.00+1.26%
Fair $12.00+0.0%

4402.TWO

J.D Development Co., LTD

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingTaipei Exchange

$12.00

+0.15 (+1.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-8.6M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -1.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4402.TWOLocal privado en este navegador · J.D Development Co., LTD
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$816M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-1.5%

↓

Gross Margin

17.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$12
$11$23

TradingView lightweight chart

4402.TWO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.10Periodo -10.8%
Fair value: $12.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-48.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-36.1%

FCF / Net income

0.98x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $23.7M · net income $-8.8M · FCF $-8.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.3%+4.7% pts

Operating margin

-74.5%-67.7% pts

Net margin

-36.9%-32.3% pts

FCF margin

-36.1%-50.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$23.7M$23.7M$18.4M$77.0M$171.7M
Net Income$-8.8M$-8.8M$-6.2M$-19.9M$-8.0M
EBITDA$-2.8M$-2.8M$3.5M$-2.6M$15.3M
EPS——-0.09-0.43-0.17
Gross Margin17.3%17.3%14.5%-2.3%12.6%
Operating Margin-74.5%-74.5%-127.6%-52.7%-6.8%
Net Margin-36.9%-36.9%-33.7%-25.8%-4.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.040.89
Current Ratio35.7235.72———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-8.6M$-8.6M$-14.1M$32.1M$24.0M
Returns
ROE-1.5%-1.5%-1.0%-4.2%-2.9%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——383.83—46.41
P/B1.371.372.621.381.78
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth28.8%28.8%-76.1%-55.2%—
EPS Growth——79.1%-152.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -40.8%

Total return

-40.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.09 → n/d

Residual

-40.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-40.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.