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4405.KL$0.49+1.02%
Fair $0.49+0.0%

4405.KL

Tan Chong Motor Holdings Berhad

Consumer Cyclical / Auto ManufacturersKuala Lumpur

$0.49

+0.00 (+1.02%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.49Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-127.3M · quality 40.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -7.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4405.KLLocal privado en este navegador · Tan Chong Motor Holdings Berhad
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$323M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

78.4x

↑

ROE

-7.4%

↓

Gross Margin

21.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

4405.KL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.495Periodo -70.5%
Fair value: $0.495

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.5%

FCF CAGR

+64.1%

FCF margin

8.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.11B · net income $-193.0M · FCF $187.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.4%+1.7% pts

Operating margin

-3.9%-4.8% pts

Net margin

-9.1%-7.5% pts

FCF margin

8.8%+7.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.11B$2.11B$2.08B$2.53B$3.05B
Net Income$-193.0M$-193.0M$-214.2M$-128.7M$-51.1M
EBITDA$17.5M$17.5M$-4.2M$85.3M$186.0M
EPS-0.30-0.30-0.33-0.20-0.08
Gross Margin21.4%21.4%20.8%19.6%19.6%
Operating Margin-3.9%-3.9%-6.6%-2.7%0.9%
Net Margin-9.1%-9.1%-10.3%-5.1%-1.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.510.730.600.47
Current Ratio0.960.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$187.0M$187.0M$-127.3M$-314.2M$42.3M
Returns
ROE-7.4%-7.4%-8.5%-4.7%-1.8%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA78.4478.44—20.808.54
P/B0.120.120.120.240.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.5%1.5%-17.8%-17.0%—
EPS Growth9.9%9.9%-66.4%-151.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.6%

Total return

+7.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.33 → -0.30

Residual

+7.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+7.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.