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4414.T$1071.00+0.00%
Fair $1071.00+0.0%

4414.T

FLECT Co., Ltd.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$1071.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1071.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $464.0M · quality 51.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4414.TLocal privado en este navegador · FLECT Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.8B

P/E

9.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.4x

↓

ROE

26.5%

↑

Gross Margin

44.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$1071
$950$2401

TradingView lightweight chart

4414.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,071Periodo -68.5%
Fair value: $1,071

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+29.7%

FCF CAGR

+101.7%

FCF margin

10.0%

FCF / Net income

1.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.95B · net income $720.8M · FCF $798.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.6%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

13.7%+6.6% pts

Net margin

9.1%+1.8% pts

FCF margin

10.0%+7.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.95B$7.95B$6.93B$5.31B$3.64B
Net Income$720.8M$720.8M$440.5M$222.5M$266.4M
EBITDA$1.18B$1.18B$871.1M$343.1M$318.4M
EPS112.78112.7868.9535.0744.93
Gross Margin44.6%44.6%43.3%38.6%44.2%
Operating Margin13.7%13.7%10.9%4.9%7.0%
Net Margin9.1%9.1%6.4%4.2%7.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.290.410.54
Current Ratio3.113.11———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$798.5M$798.5M$464.0M$-447.9M$97.4M
Returns
ROE26.5%26.5%22.2%14.5%20.6%
Valuation
P/E9.859.8543.5124.4233.03
EV/EBITDA4.424.4220.8614.3224.66
P/B2.512.519.643.556.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.7%14.7%30.6%45.7%—
EPS Growth63.6%63.6%96.6%-21.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$95.03

Spread vs growth

69.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$114.99

Spread vs growth

63.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$185.19

Spread vs growth

58.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -53.5%

Total return

-53.5%

Start / end P/E

33.4x → 9.5x

EPS bridge

68.95 → 112.78

Residual

-45.5%

EPS growth+63.6%
Multiple rerating-71.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-45.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.