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4417.T$3415.00-0.58%
Fair $3415.00+0.0%

4417.T

Global Security Experts Inc.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$3415.00

-20.00 (-0.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3415.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $710.6M · quality 79.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 4417.TLocal privado en este navegador · Global Security Experts Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$51.4B

P/E

51.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

31.7x

↑

ROE

32.8%

↑

Gross Margin

34.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.63

↑
52-Week Range$3415
$2200$4575

TradingView lightweight chart

4417.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,415Periodo +311.4%
Fair value: $3,415

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+26.1%

FCF CAGR

+32.8%

FCF margin

8.4%

FCF / Net income

0.73x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.80B · net income $1.01B · FCF $737.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.8%+3.9% pts

Operating margin

18.3%+8.3% pts

Net margin

11.5%+5.5% pts

FCF margin

8.4%+1.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.80B$8.80B$7.00B$5.56B$4.39B
Net Income$1.01B$1.01B$783.4M$488.1M$261.1M
EBITDA$1.63B$1.63B$1.17B$795.6M$471.5M
EPS33.5233.5251.6731.9517.64
Gross Margin34.8%34.8%32.5%32.1%31.0%
Operating Margin18.3%18.3%15.9%13.3%10.0%
Net Margin11.5%11.5%11.2%8.8%5.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.630.630.720.130.18
Current Ratio1.481.48———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$737.3M$737.3M$710.6M$550.8M$314.6M
Returns
ROE32.8%32.8%32.2%28.4%16.7%
Valuation
P/E51.2851.2847.4677.0064.57
EV/EBITDA31.7331.7332.1246.1633.92
P/B16.6616.6615.2821.8510.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.7%25.7%26.0%26.6%—
EPS Growth-35.1%-35.1%61.7%81.2%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

108.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$303.02

Spread vs growth

-143.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

61.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$366.66

Spread vs growth

-96.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

33.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$590.51

Spread vs growth

-68.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.6%

Total return

+4.6%

Start / end P/E

64.1x → 101.9x

EPS bridge

51.67 → 33.52

Residual

-20.8%

EPS growth-35.1%
Multiple rerating+59.1%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.