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4418.T$681.00-1.84%
Fair $681.00+0.0%

4418.T

Japan Data Science Consortium Co.Ltd.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$681.00

-13.00 (-1.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $681.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-161.7M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -8.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4418.TLocal privado en este navegador · Japan Data Science Consortium Co.Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.7B

P/E

20.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-8.5%

↓

Gross Margin

9.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.50

↑
52-Week Range$681
$688$1946

TradingView lightweight chart

4418.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $695.00Periodo -66.6%
Fair value: $681.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+147.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.4%

FCF / Net income

2.62x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $16.46B · net income $-278.4M · FCF $-730.6M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

9.8%-43.7% pts

Operating margin

0.3%-3.3% pts

Net margin

-1.7%-4.2% pts

FCF margin

-4.4%-16.8% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$16.46B$16.46B$1.94B$1.41B$1.09B
Net Income$-278.4M$-278.4M$1.3M$-82.9M$27.7M
EBITDA$-19.2M$-19.2M$67.5M$-64.5M$38.7M
EPS-21.03-21.030.09-6.56—
Gross Margin9.8%9.8%51.4%57.9%53.5%
Operating Margin0.3%0.3%3.5%-3.9%3.6%
Net Margin-1.7%-1.7%0.1%-5.9%2.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.500.500.00——
Current Ratio2.702.70———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-730.6M$-730.6M$308.2M$-161.7M$135.1M
Returns
ROE-8.5%-8.5%0.0%-2.3%0.9%
Valuation
P/E20.8120.8110755.56——
EV/EBITDA——139.46——
P/B2.742.743.532.32—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth748.5%748.5%37.2%29.7%—
EPS Growth-23466.7%-23466.7%101.4%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -30.5%

Total return

-30.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.09 → -21.03

Residual

-30.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-30.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.