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v0.1
4419.T$1361.00-2.30%
Fair $1361.00+0.0%

4419.T

Finatext Holdings Ltd.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$1361.00

-31.00 (-2.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1361.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.2B · quality 66.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4419.TLocal privado en este navegador · Finatext Holdings Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$70.6B

P/E

47.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

62.4x

↑

ROE

7.2%

↑

Gross Margin

66.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.18

↓
52-Week Range$1361
$754$1492

TradingView lightweight chart

4419.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,318Periodo +56.9%
Fair value: $1,361

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+41.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-16.9%

FCF / Net income

-1.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.70B · net income $659.7M · FCF $-1.30B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

66.6%+5.5% pts

Operating margin

12.3%+32.3% pts

Net margin

8.6%+33.2% pts

FCF margin

-16.9%+48.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.70B$7.70B$5.38B$3.82B$2.72B
Net Income$659.7M$659.7M$-78.4M$-388.0M$-669.9M
EBITDA$1.06B$1.06B$129.4M$-316.1M$-703.4M
EPS13.0013.00-1.58-7.92-16.36
Gross Margin66.6%66.6%60.0%54.9%61.2%
Operating Margin12.3%12.3%3.8%-8.6%-19.9%
Net Margin8.6%8.6%-1.5%-10.2%-24.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.180.180.080.000.02
Current Ratio2.022.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.30B$-1.30B$-1.20B$-402.4M$-1.79B
Returns
ROE7.2%7.2%-1.0%-4.7%-7.8%
Valuation
P/E47.3747.37———
EV/EBITDA62.3662.36301.45——
P/B7.587.585.254.103.29
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth43.3%43.3%40.7%40.3%—
EPS Growth922.8%922.8%80.1%51.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

110.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$120.77

Spread vs growth

812.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

62.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$146.13

Spread vs growth

860.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

33.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$235.34

Spread vs growth

889.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.3%

Total return

-4.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.58 → 13.00

Residual

-4.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.