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v0.1
4439.T$765.00-1.16%
Fair $765.00+0.0%

4439.T

Toumei Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / ConglomeratesTokyo

$765.00

-9.00 (-1.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $765.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.7B · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 38/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4439.TLocal privado en este navegador · Toumei Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$22.8B

P/E

9.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.7x

↓

ROE

24.8%

↑

Gross Margin

33.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.16

↓
52-Week Range$765
$678$1170

TradingView lightweight chart

4439.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $765.00Periodo +158.2%
Fair value: $765.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

8.2%

FCF / Net income

0.98x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $29.07B · net income $2.43B · FCF $2.39B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.8%+9.3% pts

Operating margin

11.3%+9.4% pts

Net margin

8.4%+6.8% pts

FCF margin

8.2%+22.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$29.07B$29.07B$23.92B$20.53B$17.70B
Net Income$2.43B$2.43B$1.55B$1.15B$269.2M
EBITDA$3.62B$3.62B$2.44B$1.87B$469.7M
EPS79.9379.9351.1637.998.96
Gross Margin33.8%33.8%32.7%31.3%24.5%
Operating Margin11.3%11.3%9.7%8.0%1.9%
Net Margin8.4%8.4%6.5%5.6%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.160.160.270.360.39
Current Ratio2.282.28———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.39B$2.39B$2.66B$2.67B$-2.56B
Returns
ROE24.8%24.8%20.3%18.6%5.3%
Valuation
P/E9.949.9413.7614.4828.48
EV/EBITDA4.674.676.887.7317.15
P/B2.382.382.802.701.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth21.5%21.5%16.5%16.0%—
EPS Growth56.2%56.2%34.6%323.9%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$67.88

Spread vs growth

61.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$82.14

Spread vs growth

55.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$132.28

Spread vs growth

51.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.2%

Total return

-16.2%

Start / end P/E

18.2x → 9.6x

EPS bridge

51.16 → 79.93

Residual

-26.7%

EPS growth+56.2%
Multiple rerating-47.5%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-26.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.